Specialists have issued a worrying weather warning for the coming months. According to them, there is a good chance that 2024 will be the hottest year on record. What meteorologists say about the values that the thermometers will show in September, October and November.
2024 could be the warmest year on record
Devastating wildfires, heatwave weather warnings and heightened thermal discomfort, temperature records – this is how the summer that just ended can be described, from a meteorological point of view. Moreover, the specialists announced that the month of June was the warmest in the history of measurements.
Given that the first days of autumn brought thermometers higher values than the averages considered normal for this period, meteorologists came with worrying news for the coming months.
According to them, 2024 could be the hottest year in history: the first episodes of heatwave will be recorded much earlier, and thermometers will show higher and higher values in the summer months.
Specialists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration have published the first estimates regarding the months of September, October and November, with temperatures much higher than values considered normal.
What phenomena will we face in the next period?
The end of this year will be marked by the effects of the El Nino phenomenon, which will bring unusual temperatures for the winter months. In some regions, huge amounts of rainfall will be recorded, which will lead to flooding.
“El Nino is the natural climate pattern that causes global temperatures to rise. It officially started in June. Now, federal meteorologists say they expect it to persist through 2024. (…) So El Nino will stick around until next March,” National Public Radio’s Rebecca Hersher said in an interview with meteorologist Matthew Rosencrans.
“We expect El Nino to continue at least into the Northern Hemisphere winter, and there is a 90% or better chance that this will happen,” added Matthew Rosencrans.
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Meteorologists, on the chances that 2024 will be the warmest year on record
Climate change and the effects of El Nino could make 2024 the hottest year on record, meteorologists say.
“We are confident, however, that the impact of a particular El Nino is becoming stronger as the climate warms. In addition to the fact that this El Nino is likely to be a major event and that it will take place in a climate that is warmer than ever, we can expect an unprecedented impact,” the experts add.
Climatologist John Nielsen-Gammon explained the chain of phenomena that has the final effect of increasing temperatures.
“Heat transforms the earth into itself. Here’s how: Imagine sunlight hitting the earth. If that land is moist soil, energy from the sun causes that moisture to evaporate. But if there is not much moisture, most of the energy will be absorbed by the earth and make the earth hotter.
Think of the difference between the sun hitting a wet patch of grass and a dry road. The road will get much hotter. The grassy area will remain cooler, but eventually it will also dry out and become hotter.
So as things dry out, as we run out of water because it evaporates, all that energy warms the soil, which then warms the air above the ground,” explained climatologist John Nielsen-Gammon.
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