Half of the Romanians say that they would definitely vote in the parliamentary elections. PSD is in first place in voting intentions, with 31%, followed in order by PNL and AUR. The PNL-AUR difference is below 1 percent, according to an INSCOP survey commissioned by News.ro.
Half of those questioned in the survey say that they would certainly go to vote if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, but almost a quarter of them say that they would certainly not go to exercise their right to vote.
The intention to go to vote was evaluated on a scale from 1 – definitely NO to 10 – definitely YES, the question being: “If there were parliamentary elections next Sunday, how sure are you that you would go to vote?”
On the scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means “definitely no” and 10 “definitely yes”, 23.7% of Romanians chose 1, 1.8% of Romanians chose 2, 1.7% chose 3, 1.8% chose 4, 6.8% chose 5, 1.8% chose 6, 2.7% chose 7. 5.3% indicated 8, 2.5% 9 and 50.1 % indicates 10.
The share of those who choose grade 10, – “sure yes” is very high compared to the actual attendance recorded in the previous polls.
Regarding voting intentions, the question concerned a fixed list of parties: “If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday and the following political parties/alliances participated, which party/alliance would you vote for?”
In the case of respondents who expressed their preference for a party from the list and declared that they would definitely go to the vote (37.8% of the sample), 31% would vote with PSD, 20.4% would opt for PNL, 19.7 % would vote with AUR, and 12% with USR. They would follow, in order, as voting intentions, UDMR – 4.6%, SOS – 3.1%, Green Party 2.7%, PMP – 1.7%, Pro Romania 1.5%, Forţa Dreptei 1% , REPER – 0.7%, Other party – 1.6%.
Those who only opted for a party from the list, regardless of whether they go to vote or not, excluding undecideds, expressed the following options: PSD – 29.1%, AUR – 22.4%, PNL – 20.4%, USR – 11%, the other formations being below the electoral threshold of 5% necessary to enter the Parliament.
“INSCOP Research decided to transparently publish the voting intention reported to two distinct categories of respondents: the so-called most mobilized voters, i.e. respondents who choose a party from the list and declare that they would certainly go to vote, without includes undecideds and non-answers (37.8% of the total sample), i.e. respondents who choose a party from the list, regardless of whether they declare that they will definitely come to vote or not, without including undecideds and non-answers (63, 8% of the total sample).
What we find from the data is that PSD and PNL get slightly better scores on highly mobilized voters, while AUR gets better scores on voters who have a political option, regardless of how mobilized they are”, explains the director general of INSCOP Research Remus plug
The opinion poll was carried out by INSCOP Research on behalf of News.ro. The data were collected between September 15 and 22, using the CATI method (telephone interviews). The volume of the simple, stratified sample is 1550 people, representative of the significant sociodemographic categories (sex, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania, aged 18 and over. The maximum allowed error of the data is ± 2.49 %, at a confidence level of 95%.
Editor : M.B.
